Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 150.770036 165.546141 180.667773 197.271821 214.962655 233.219675 253.456613
2025-01-05 126.792096 148.849108 172.488788 199.587183 229.667535 261.913308 298.970433
2025-01-12 105.573270 132.239276 162.103055 197.722005 238.738583 284.187632 338.044470
2025-01-19 89.098079 118.783792 153.440258 196.308955 247.319389 305.497367 376.265290
2025-01-26 79.892245 112.613163 152.234505 202.796797 264.633987 336.846233 426.552403
2025-02-02 71.823853 106.766367 150.555725 208.058991 280.139093 366.087250 474.827367
2025-02-09 65.410110 102.205626 149.805584 213.953063 296.141227 395.946598 524.227042
2025-02-16 59.718876 97.908293 148.826331 219.121269 311.009702 424.448197 572.319251
2025-02-23 50.712748 88.010167 139.521793 212.622768 310.353354 433.223241 595.873833
2025-03-02 44.050281 80.723509 133.081580 209.294206 313.281347 446.161185 624.468574
2025-03-09 39.424763 75.963721 129.725990 209.771443 320.954975 465.044664 660.657436
2025-03-16 35.912703 72.541709 127.965339 212.202112 331.099346 487.125538 701.125918
2025-03-23 33.796099 71.252985 129.367092 219.310883 348.047346 518.815992 755.098646
2025-03-30 31.347753 69.160309 129.385265 224.356046 362.233143 547.126882 805.210295
2025-04-06 27.884979 64.924591 125.756502 223.769879 368.377911 564.682983 841.392514
2025-04-13 24.781873 60.954318 122.219168 223.043374 374.148095 581.698306 877.006816
2025-04-20 23.585057 60.393067 124.138491 230.639739 392.023641 615.519803 935.585483
2025-04-27 22.207806 59.319957 125.094166 236.694851 407.708173 646.504512 990.708732
2025-05-04 21.049248 58.538238 126.443825 243.328735 424.296464 678.912131 1048.096224
2025-05-11 19.841413 57.512499 127.274250 249.096762 439.652039 709.767205 1103.707929
2025-05-18 16.850354 52.305938 120.372894 242.009874 435.386308 712.733378 1120.905327
2025-05-25 14.675462 48.553183 115.764935 238.379834 436.123707 722.658785 1147.687321
2025-06-01 13.246216 46.304597 113.746968 238.921110 443.192022 741.679448 1187.282873